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Collective Epistemics: Napkin Math on Independent Errors

The text discusses collective epistemics through mathematical models, focusing on Condorcet's Jury Theorem and the aggregation of independent information. It explores how majority decisions improve with more independent participants, even with slight individual accuracy. The article also touches on collective intelligence, model selection, and antifragility, aiming to enhance community rationality.

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PublishedSeptember 18, 2026Jonas Hallgren
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WHY IT MAY MATTER

This article provides mathematical insights into how collective decision-making improves with more independent participants, useful for understanding group rationality and information aggregation.

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